Archive

Tarqeq research and analysis portfolio

Tools

INQLAB

A simulator to explore the interaction of information, government responses and political mobilisation outcomes

Tools

SIMPLR

A military counterinsurgency simulator for force allocation strategies

Models

Signals and Survival

An interactive OPSEC simulation explores why networked actors go dark -- and the costs of staying so

Commentary

Frontier AI Models for Analysts

Experimenting with possibilities

Experiments

Assessing an Assessment

Using LLMs and formalisation to closely examine a finished intelligence analytical product

Experiments

The Parched Garden of Forking Paths

Examining how an LLM can build a scenario and assist futures analysis through human and formal controls

Commentary

India’s Roach Revolt

The causes and effects of contingent mobilisation

Essays

Trickster, Punter, Soldier, Spy

Can prediction markets improve intelligence analysis?

Commentary

The Global Far-Right and India’s Diaspora

Social media, performance and feedback: a perfect storm

Essays

Imprisoning Minds

Exploring digital arrest scams in India

Commentary

India’s Naxals: Endurance and Ideology

Could political psychology explain why an anachronistic movement lives on?

Commentary

Shortwave Wars

How to win friends and influence people through airwaves

Essays

Pakistan’s ISI and the Covert War in Kashmir

The end of an empire and the birth of a much-scrutinized intelligence service

Commentary

The Pahalgam Gambit

Exploring the goals behind the 22 April 2025 massacre in Kashmir

Commentary

When the Internet Displaces the Town Square

Urbanisation, tech, and culture amid revolution

Models

Nodes, Neighbours and Footfall

A new simulation model looks at how social networks influence attendance in festivals and movies

Commentary

Fear and Loathing in Dhaka and DC

Yunus and Trump have more in common than you think

Commentary

Securing India’s Cities

Defeating extant and new urban threats is a geopolitical imperative

Reports

Mapping Terror Networks From Open Sources

A quantitative network-analytic approach to the 1993 Mumbai bombings

White Papers

Reimagining Security

What can recent advances in the mathematical, computational and natural sciences teach us?